Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. With wins in Georgia and North Carolina, Trump is in a strong position, though Harris still has a narrow path to victory by sweeping the northern battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!
Republicans will capture the Senate
ABC News projects that Republicans will gain control of the Senate in the 119th Congress, set to begin on Jan. 3, 2025. ABC News has projected Republican pickups in Ohio and West Virginia, which puts the GOP at 51 seats, and Republicans currently hold narrow leads in Michigan, Montana, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Nevada also looks very close, so the GOP could in theory secure as many as 56 seats based on the way results look right now.
Fischer hangs on in Nebraska
ABC News projects that Republican Sen. Deb Fischer will defeat independent Dan Osborn to win reelection. Osborn put up a surprisingly strong performance for a non-Republican in the Cornhusker State, even running close to Fischer in our polling average. But Fischer avoided defeat, aided surely by her state's red lean. With around three-fourths of the expected vote reporting, she leads by about 5 points, 52.6% to 47.4%. If you look at the map below, you'll see that Osborn carried the major counties of Douglas (Omaha) and Lancaster (Lincoln), as well as a smattering of other places in the state, but it was not enough to topple Fischer.
Checking in on abortion ballot measures around the country
Since our last update, the results of a few more ballot measures related to abortion have been projected. In Nevada, ABC News has projected that Question 6, which would enshrine the right to an abortion in the state's Constitution will pass. ABC News also projects that the pro-abortion rights ballot measures will pass in Colorado and Arizona.
Meanwhile abortion rights measures are leading in Missouri and Montana, and trailing in South Dakota and Nebraska (where there are dueling measures).
Carbon emissions cap in Washington state to stay?
Washington state has on its ballot a measure to repeal the cap on carbon emissions. With lots of votes still to be counted, the "no" side is up 62% to 38% on Initiative 2117.
Republicans could build a sizable Senate majority
Time for a quick overview of where things stand in the Senate. Republicans flipped West Virginia earlier to move the Senate to 50-50, and two other seats could very well flip to them. In Ohio, 90% of the expected vote has been reported, and Republican Bernie Moreno leads Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, 51% to 46%. Brown looks in very rough shape, needing a ton of help from the remaining votes in parts of Cleveland and northern Ohio to close that gap. In Montana, we barely have any votes reporting so far, but Republican Tim Sheehy is ahead of incumbent Democratic Sen. Jon Tester 56% to 43%.
If they win those two with West Virginia, Republicans would hold 52 seats. But with the presidential race so close in some of the key swing states, the GOP could perhaps add as many as three more to get to 55 seats. In Pennsylvania, Republican Dave McCormick leads Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr by 1 point, 49% to 48%, with 68% of the expected vote reporting. In Wisconsin, 60% of the expected vote has reported, and Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin and Republican Eric Hovde are tied at 49%. In Michigan, Republican Mike Rogers leads Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin 49% to 48%. About the only good news for Democrats in the key races right now is that Democratic Rep. Ruben Gallego leads Republican Kari Lake by 7 points in Arizona with about half the expected vote reporting.