Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. With wins in Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania, Trump is on track to win the presidency.
Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!
Missouri joins 5 other states in voting in favor of abortion rights
ABC News projects that Missouri's Amendment 3, which would legalize abortion in the state up until fetal viability, will pass narrowly. Missouri joins Arizona, Colorado, Maryland, Nevada and New York in voting tonight to expand or guarantee abortion rights in their respective states. Though we’re still waiting for projections for the abortion related measures in Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota, it’s safe to say that voters have made their voices heard in the post-Roe era.
What went wrong in Pennsylvania
Many roads to the White House for Harris ran through Pennsylvania, but with ABC News projecting a win for Trump, Harris has run out of options. I’ll leave the more in-depth analysis of what went wrong with the campaign to the experts, but at a basic level, she fell short of her benchmarks across much of the state and suffered from deep-blue Philadelphia County making up a smaller portion of the statewide vote than in 2020.
Trump is on track to become the 47th president
ABC News projects that Trump will win Pennsylvania's 19 electoral votes, which puts him on course to win at least 270 electoral votes and the presidency. He now has 266 electoral votes, and while ABC News has not yet projected the three electoral votes in Alaska or one vote in Maine's 2nd Congressional District, his edge so far tonight suggests that he is more than likely to. Additionally, he leads by varying margins in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin.
Trump's impending victory is historic for a multitude of reasons. He is just the second former president to lose reelection and then return four years later to win back the White House (Democrat Grover Cleveland
was the first during the period from 1884 to 1892). He also won despite
various personal legal troubles that were unprecedented for a major-party presidential contender. It remains to be seen if Trump will return to office with his party in full control of government: ABC News has projected the Senate will go Republican, but the House remains up in the air at this late (or especially early) hour.
North Carolina legislative Democrats set to break GOP supermajority
Democrats are on their way to breaking Republicans’ supermajority in the North Carolina state House, meaning that the legislature won’t be able to override the Democratic governor’s vetoes. Prior to tonight, Republicans occupied at least 60% of North Carolina’s legislative seats. This gave the party the power to override gubernatorial vetoes if they voted as a bloc, and was massively important for Republicans as the state’s outgoing governor, Roy Cooper, is a Democrat. After tonight, Republicans will still represent the majority of lawmakers in the state’s legislature — but the party is likely to lose its supermajority. That’s because, in House District 24, Democrat Dante Pittman is leading incumbent Republican Rep. Ken Fontenot. If that trend continues then, come January, Republicans will no longer have the power to override gubernatorial vetoes; this could force the party to negotiate with Governor-elect Josh Stein in order to pass their priorities.
North Carolina projected to go to Trump
ABC News is projecting that Trump is expecting to win North Carolina's 16 electoral votes. This is one of several swing states to watch tonight, as it shifted from a "lean Republican" to a "toss-up" state after Harris joined the presidential race.
The state has been competitive in presidential years past. In 2016, Trump narrowly won North Carolina by roughly four percentage points. But in 2020, the former president's margin narrowed to just 1 percentage point. As Election Day votes continue to trickle in, and with 89% of the expected vote in, Trump leads Harris, 51% to 48%.