The TAKE with Rick Klein
The 10 leading Democratic contenders are set to descend on Houston this week, many of them facing new urgency around the need to break through in a crowded field.
But before they get to Thursday night’s debate on ABC and Univision, consider some of what will happen first.
There’s a Donald Trump rally Monday night, a special election in North Carolina Tuesday that could set the tone for 2020 and Congress returns to session with guns, a possible shutdown and steps toward impeachment on the fall agenda.
In addition, the 9/11 anniversary arrives amid the revelation of aborted presidential talks with the Taliban. And there are new developments in a trade war with China that has markets on edge.
A new ABC News/Washington Post poll solidifies perceptions of a top tier of candidates that includes three who will be center stage Thursday.
That comes along with an interesting shift among Democrats: More are putting an emphasis on defeating Trump than having a candidate who is closer to them on issues -- a dynamic that’s boosting the standing of former Vice President Joe Biden.
Biden’s rivals are seeking out new ideological and generational arguments this week. It’s harder, though, to shape events when it’s nearly impossible to keep up with them.
The RUNDOWN with MaryAlice Parks
Congress comes back into session this week and once again polling suggests there is significant public support for gun safety legislation.
According to Monday’s new ABC News/Washington Post poll, even gun-owning households and individuals skeptical that stricter gun safety legislation might reduce gun violence, there is still broad and sweeping support for some of the most basic legislation on the table.
For example, 82% of respondents who said they had a gun in the household agreed that they too supported so-called red-flag laws to keep guns away from individuals identified as a possible risk to themselves or others (compared to 91% of people without guns in their homes).
Similarly, 80% of people who identified as being less confident that gun control measures will reduce violent incidents still said they were in support of universal background checks, including for private sales and at gun shows. That’s compared to an eye-popping 97% of those who are confident that gun safety measure will help reduce violence.
As has been noted all summer, it is rare to have such consensus on anything in U.S. politics these days, but the president has shown a willingness to ignore popular opinion before and could do so again.
The TIP with Cheyenne Haslett
Though both Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren will split center stage on Thursday night, it’s all but guaranteed that it will be the senator from Massachusetts who is painted in a new light.
The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll finds Biden holding his ground as this summer’s front-runner, but while Warren saw a gain, Biden did not advance. And now, for the first time, she’ll take a podium directly next to Biden, the candidate who has stood front and center in every debate so far. But despite the rising anticipation over their matchup, Warren said it won’t change her approach.
In fact, these debates-- allowing candidates just about a minute of response time and requiring them to share their time with nine other candidates -- don’t compare to the debates Warren excelled at in her high school years, when she was a state champion and would spend hours with her debate teammates preparing to extensively map out an argument on a single topic before a judge.
Asked in New Hampshire on Saturday how she’s preparing, Warren said simply, "Can we just start with the fact that these are not debates like those were debates?"
THE PLAYLIST
ABC News’ “Start Here” podcast. Monday morning’s episode features ABC News Chief Global Affairs correspondent Martha Raddatz, who explains where peace talks with the Taliban stand after President Donald Trump scuttled a meeting between the two sides at Camp David. Then, ABC News Political Director Rick Klein helps break down the latest ABC News/Washington Post polling around guns as Congress returns to Washington. http://apple.co/2HPocUL
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