November 11, 2020

Climate change slows weakening of North Atlantic hurricanes once they make landfall

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Climate change is slowing the weakening of hurricanes after they make landfall from the North Atlantic, which could result in more destruction for areas further inland, according to a new study.

Hurricane storm systems, which derive their power from the moisture in open seas, typically "decay rapidly" once hitting land, and the damage is largely confined to coastal areas, according to the study, published in Nature on Wednesday.

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Hurricane Sandy strengthened with winds up to 85 mph as it moves towards Cuba on October 24, 2012 in the Atlantic Ocean.

When a hurricane first makes landfall, the center of the storm is over land, but about half of the system is still over the ocean, which allows the moisture supply to persist until the storm is completely over land, typically about 3.5 hours later.

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However, the study's findings suggest that warmer seas are allowing storm systems to hold more moisture, even after they make landfall, slowing the rate at which they dissipate.

"The maximum intensity the hurricane can achieve over its lifestyle" is expected to increase as the world warms and storm systems collect more moisture, according to the scientists.

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People wear face masks near a fallen tree in Kips Bay as a result of Tropical Storm Isaias in New York, Aug. 8, 2020.

The researchers analyzed data from hurricanes that made landfall in the North Atlantic from 1967 to 2018 and found the extent of hurricane decay has declined in correlation with a rise in sea temperatures.

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According to the data, storms that made landfall in 1960 likely would decay by 75% within a day of hitting land, while hurricanes today only weaken by about 50% within a day of landfall.

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A person watches waves crashing against the Pier at Garden City, S.C., Aug. 3, 2020.

The timescale of decay after hitting land has also nearly doubled over the past half century, from 17 hours to 33 hours.

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More inland areas typically less prepared for such storms could find themselves at greater risk, the authors noted.