In a post to social media, Harris surrogate Mark Cuban congratulated Trump on his apparent victory and said that the election was conducted"fair and square." According to NOTUS, another person in Harris's orbit expressed devastation. "I want to go home, get in my own bed and cry," they said.

Trump claims in his victory speech that he has won the popular vote. That's a little premature; while he does currently have 5 million more votes than Harris, Harris is expected to add to her total as more ballots are counted in states like California. If Trump does win the popular vote, it will be a remarkable achievement: Only one Republican (George W. Bush in 2004) in the last eight presidential elections has done so.

Trump is claiming victory at his speech. "I want to thank the American people for the extraordinary honor of being elected your 47th president," he said. (ABC News hasn't yet projected that he has won, but he is very close to clinching 270 electoral votes.)

Trump, on the verge of winning the presidency, is now speaking to his supporters.

ABC News has projected Trump will carry the state of North Carolina and its 16 Electoral College votes. Although Harris was not likely to carry that state anyway, the projections still hurts her; as you can see using our handy-dandy election simulator, when we restrict the set of possible Electoral College outcomes to ones that include a Trump win in North Carolina and Florida, Harris loses ground probabilistically because those outcomes are likelier to occur in simulations with more Republican victories than not.

Internally here at 538, we have also been running a version of this model that updates itself with a likely win in Georgia, based on how few votes are left there, as well as a tight race in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, based on the lagging Democratic turnout there. That model assigns a 6-in-100 chance of Harris winning the majority of Electoral College votes after everything is said and done.

To be clear: That 6 percent chance is not nothing. It's possible that our models are extrapolating incorrectly about outstanding urban votes in Wisconsin, for example, where about 24% of the vote is left to be counted, or inferring incorrectly the result in Nevada, where no votes have been counted yet. But those states don't have enough votes to put Harris over the top if she loses Pennsylvania, anyway. There, 84% of the vote has been counted, and Harris trails Trump by 3 percentage points.