Right now, the presidential race is looking good for Trump and the Republicans, who have already taken North Carolina and have more votes in all three Blue Wall states. In the Senate, the question mainly remains over the size of their gains.

But the House looks a bit different so far — with the caveat that it's early. But in wave elections, you often see seemingly safe members of the losing party go down to defeat, and so far, the Democrats are only behind in a single seat that was rated by the Cook Political Report as one that Democrats were expected to win (narrowly). That may well change as more ballots are counted — but it is also a quirk of American electoral geography that winning a trifecta means winning in a variety of different types of communities.

ABC News projects that Rep. Bryan Steil will win reelection in Wisconsin's 1st District. Our forecast rated this seat "Likely Republican," so this isn't necessarily a surprise, but Democrats were hopeful they could make inroads in this suburban district.

Both incumbent Republican Gov. Spencer Cox and Senate candidate John Curtis have been projected to win their races in Utah by ABC News. While some early polls suggested that Republican write-in candidate Phil Lyman might cut into Cox’s lead in the gubernatorial race, ultimately Lyman is only taking 8 percent of the vote with 35 percent of the expected vote reporting.

ABC News is projecting that Harris will win New Mexico's five electoral votes. ABC News is also projecting the state's U.S. Senate race for the Democratic incumbent, Martin Heinrich.

With polls closed, ABC News is projecting that Republican Josh Hawley has won reelection to the Senate in Missouri, and Republican Mike Kehoe will win the governor's race, succeeding the current Republican governor, Mike Parson, who is term-limited out. ABC News also projects that Sen. Pete Ricketts, who was appointed after former Sen. Ben Sasse resigned, will keep his seat and win his first election to the chamber.

We're still waiting on a projection in the Nebraska Senate race between Deb Fischer and Dan Osborn, but Nathaniel was right earlier: the independent is underperforming his benchmarks, and Fischer is still a favorite to win.