Polls have closed in some states and the first results are coming in in the high-stakes presidential match-up between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. According to
538's forecast, both candidates have a roughly equal chance to win.
Voters are still at polling places around the country, casting ballots to decide who controls not only the White House, but also Congress, state and local governments.
Reporters from 538 and ABC News will be following along every step of the way with live updates, analysis and commentary on the results. Keep up to date with our full live blog below!
1968 redux?
This election has key commonalities with 1968 -- an unpopular Democratic incumbent steps aside in the election year, the replacement is his vice president who doesn't contest primaries but sews up the nomination, and the Democratic Party is divided by a war abroad. Meanwhile, the Republican candidate had previously lost a presidential election. But instead of Richard Nixon versus Hubert Humphrey, it's Trump versus Harris.
Washington projected to go for Harris
The West Coast remains blue, as ABC News has projected that Harris will win Washington state, joining Oregon and California in her camp. But these were always states that were likely to go for Harris.
North Carolina projected to go to Trump
ABC News is projecting that Trump is expecting to win North Carolina's 16 electoral votes. This is one of several swing states to watch tonight, as it shifted from a "lean Republican" to a "toss-up" state after Harris joined the presidential race.
The state has been competitive in presidential years past. In 2016, Trump narrowly won North Carolina by roughly four percentage points. But in 2020, the former president's margin narrowed to just 1 percentage point. As Election Day votes continue to trickle in, and with 89% of the expected vote in, Trump leads Harris, 51% to 48%.
ABC News projects Bernie Moreno to win Ohio's Senate seat
As of 11:30 p.m. Eastern with 89% of the expected vote reported, ABC News has called the election for Ohio's Senate seat for Republican Bernie Moreno. He currently leads incumbent Sherrod Brown by 5 points. That will make for a pretty big overperformance of the fundamentals and polls in the State; our final forecast had the state 1 point off of Lean Moreno.
Holy ticket-splitting, Batman!
With 21% of the expected vote reporting in New Hampshire, Harris is at 54% and Trump at 45%. However, in the competitive governors' race, Republican Kelly Ayotte is at 51% and Democrat Joyce Craig is at 48%. Craig was probably hoping that Harris' likely win in New Hampshire would pull her over the finish line, but it looks like Granite Staters are differentiating between the two Republicans at the top of the ticket.